India TV-CNX Opinion Poll predicts massive BJP victory in Assam and other NE states, rout in Manipur

India TV-CNX Opinion Poll: Even if BJP is losing Manipur, due to the ethnic violence, it would comfortably win Arunachal Pradesh, Tripura, Meghalaya, Mizoram, Nagaland and Sikkim.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi with the Assam CM Himanta Bishwa Sharma during the mega Bihu dance program at Sarusajai Sports Complex in Guwahati


India TV-CNX Opinion Poll : If the Lok Sabha elections were held today, the BJP-led NDA would probably lose its Manipur seat due to criticism for its passivity regarding the continuing violence.Following battles between the Meiteis and Kukis, the north-eastern state has been on fire since May 3.

The demand for a discussion on the Manipur crisis has caused a deadlock in the Monsoon session of Parliament.The government has repeatedly stated that it is prepared for a discussion on the House floor while the opposition has been calling for Prime Minister Narendra Modi to make a comment on the matter.

The India TV and CNX opinion survey also paints a picture of a public that has lost faith in the BJP. If Lok Sabha elections were held today, the poll predicts that the Congress will win both the inner and outer seats. 

The survey predicts that the BJP-led NDA will receive 47% of the vote in Manipur, compared to 32% for the opposition's INDIA coalition and 21% for others. To further split it down, according to the predicted vote percentages, the BJP is predicted to receive 18%, NPF 12%, NPP 17%, Congress 32%, and others 21%.

In contrast to Manipur, Assam has a total of 14 seats, and the BJP is predicted to come out on top there. The BJP is predicted to win 10 seats if elections were held right now.  


NDA may win 12 out of a total of 14 LS seats in Assam

In Assam, where there are 14 LS seats available, the NDA may win 12 of them, while the INDIA alliance and "Others" (AIUDF) may each take home one.  Both LS seats in the violently divided state of Manipur could go to the INDIA alliance. In the other N.E. states of Mizoram, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Arunachal Pradesh, Tripura, and Sikkim, the NDA may win all nine of the remaining LS seats.

Assam: NDA 12, India: 1, Others: 1, Manipur: NDA 0, India: 2, and the North-East as a whole:  Arunachal Pradesh: BJP 2, Tripura: BJP 2, Mizoram: MNF -1, Meghalaya: NPP 1, UDP 1, Nagaland: NDPP 1, Sikkim: SKM 1.



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